The Brewers WILL make the play-offs, this season, they probably won’t be division champs like we were led to believe for 150 days this season, but none the less, be playing in October. That being said, who should get the ball in that “win or go home” single elimination Wild Card game?
I could get all saber metric, and that would be cool, but, I’m not Billy Beane, and honestly that stuff can be overwhelming… sometimes your gut is the best bet.
If I was Ron Roenicke I would start Wily Peralta…that’s right Wily Peralta. Before 9/11 game vs Miami I would’ve without a doubt started Mike Fiers, since he has been the Crew’s hottest arm as of late. After the whole Giacarlo Stanton incident that sent sent Stanton to the ER and ended his season which left Fiers visibly shaken, who knows if Fiers is “damaged goods” the rest of the way out.
Peralta is not the Brewers’ most experienced pitcher… Matt Garza, Kyle Lohse and Yovani Gallardo have 23 post season games under their belts among them, but, that doesn’t make them the best choice in a “do-or-die” game.
Last night’s game against division leading St. Louis is a perfect example of why I would choose Wily. Sure, Peralta gave up 3 hits and 2 runs in the first inning, but after that he was “lights out” only allowing 2 hits over the next 6 innings. That’s what a shut down pitcher does, he settles himself down and keeps his team in the game. Quite frankly if the Brewers can’t score more than 2 runs in a game they don’t deserve to win.
Yovani Gallardo has a decent record with a decent ERA away from Miller Park, but which Yo is going to show up? Good Yo, or, 86 pitches in 3 innings Yo? Both Garza and Lohse had minor injuries this season which kept them out of the line-up, and both have 4.00 plus eras on the road, which isn’t a big deal, but, it wouldn’t it be great to have them open up against the Nationals in the NLDS.
Granted there are 2 weeks (11 games) left to play, so one would say it’s too early to think about a pitcher, but in reality, it’s not. In fact, this is when the chess match begins. If Roenicke would want to have Peralta ready for the one game playoff in San Francisco he would have to do a little juggling since Wily should be in the rotation on the second last day of the season vs the Cubs at Miller Park.